15 February, 2010

- Harper Leadership Index ??? - It's Time For Nanos to Recalibrate

2/15/2010 12:52:50 PM The Globe and Mail
Ignatieff wades into PMO versus banker fight. It's no way to run a country, Liberal Leader says, when politicians can't seek advice from experts, Jane Taber, 15 Feb.'10
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ignatieff-wades-into-pmo-versus-banker-fight/article1468522/
Tab 24

The Nanos 'Leadership Index' is Very Misleading to say the least.

Harper's numbers are entirely explained by assuming a core of die-hard supporters of around 33%. How about some Demographics Nanos - that would be interesting.

And, these days with Harper's true extreme right wing 'colours' starting to bulge out over the Hype, they have to be die-hard, indeed, to still support him, despite the damage to Canadian Democracy.

The actual results of the Poll results Nanos is basing his 'Leadeship Index' (see:
nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLNAT-W10-T411E.pdf
are as follows:

The Best PM
Stephen Harper: 32.0% (-2.8)
- within the 33% point - considering margin of error (3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20) - 1/3 of Canadians like him as PM??? what's he doing running this country

The most trustworthy leader
Stephen Harper: 25.0% (-4.3)
- definitely down from the 33% point -even considering margin of error- and rightfully so, give Harper's abuse of his Office and attack on Canadian Democracy

The most competent leader
Stephen Harper: 33.6% (-1.7)
- within the 33% point - considering margin of error - there's that die-hard 33% manifesting itself!

The leader with the best vision for Canada#s future
Stephen Harper: 26.8% (-3.2)
- definitely down from the 33% point - even considering margin of error- and rightfully so - yeh, Harper's vision for most of his public life is to tear Canada asunder, apparently some people like that, or don't understand what Harper is really all about

A break down by Province would be very interesting (although I suspect that the result can be easily predicted) and perhaps Nanos would be courteous enough to provide that for us.

These number are actually down from the last time (and Harper index is down 10%) as one would expect (at least there are some die-hards that are taking a serious second thought at what Harper is doing).

To have any meaning whatsoever, any "Leadership Index' for Harper ought to be how many points away from the 33% point.

All you non-Haperites that don't take the 33% core of die-hard support for Harper seriously do so at your own peril.

Lloyd MacILquham cicblog.com/comments.html

Also Posted to: Nanos On The Numbers
Mon Feb 15 13:13:29 EST 2010
Nanos Leadership Index: Harper still strong (Nanos Poll Completed February 8th, 2010)